# Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities | FRED by Rearc — Data Product Intelligence

> Source: Vedex (https://vedex.ai) — Alternative Data Vendor Intelligence
> Generated: 2026-10-05T13:27:13.656Z
> Canonical: https://vedex.ai/products/smoothed-u-s-recession-probabilities-fred-5d3124

## Overview
- **Product**: Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities | FRED
- **Vendor**: Rearc
- **Description**: The data represents the smoothed probability of a recession in the U.S. at the time of the corresponding date.
- **Categories**: ECONOMICS
- **Tags**: ASSET_TYPE_DATA_TABLE
- **Use Cases**: Economic analysis, recession forecasting, and macroeconomic research.
- **Source Platform**: databricks_marketplace

## Coverage & Delivery
- **Geographic Coverage**: USA
- **Update Frequency**: Monthly
- **Sample Available**: No

## Pricing
- **Free**: No
- **Estimated Annual Price**: ~$30,000/yr (Vedex estimate — not a vendor-published price)

### Pricing Tiers
| Tier | Price | Billing | Annualized | Type | Confidence | Source |
|------|-------|---------|------------|------|------------|--------|
| Vedex estimate | ~$2,500 | ESTIMATED | ~$30,000/yr | UNKNOWN | LOW | Vedex estimate |

## Quality Scores
- **Value Score**: 20.7
- **Coverage Score**: 23
- **Trial Accessibility**: 0

## Vendor Information
- **Vendor**: Rearc
- **Website**: https://rearc.io
- **Headquarters**: New York, NY
- **Vendor Profile**: https://vedex.ai/vendor/rearc-a3ff1f/llms.txt

## Source
- **Platform**: databricks_marketplace
- **Listing URL**: https://marketplace.databricks.com/details/c9b34140-ec2a-4c6a-824b-01a3e851a0d4/Rearc_Smoothed-U.S.-Recession-Probabilities-|-FRED

## Links
- Vedex Product Page: https://vedex.ai/products/smoothed-u-s-recession-probabilities-fred-5d3124
- Vendor Profile: https://vedex.ai/vendor/rearc-a3ff1f
- All Products: https://vedex.ai/products